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It happens every day! The results from the previous batch of experiments still aren't available, and the daily optical-disc deliveries have turned my hair gray. Every day I try to find people, but I can't find anyone. This problem is only now starting to seem meaningful.
“Determining the Extremum of the Cross-Period Net Economic Utility at Year-End Settlement, Including Biscuit Consumption”
During the year-end settlement in 2024, an investor used the following criteria for evaluation:
Year-end settlement objective function =
Financial book profit and loss
Foreign-exchange effects
− Present value of life-event expenses
− Monetary equivalent of utility loss
± Marginal utility adjustment for biscuit consumption
I. Financial Positions (Full Calculations Required)
(1) Futures
The investor holds 2 long Taiwan Stock Index Futures contracts
Contract multiplier: 200
Entry index: 15,750
Year-end settlement index: 16,180
Margin as a percentage of notional value: 12%
Annualized funding cost: 3.5%
The opportunity cost of margin is calculated using continuous compounding
(2) Warrants (Underlying Asset Without Dividends)
European call warrant
Current underlying price: 102
Strike price: 100
Time to expiration: 1 year
No dividends
Risk-free interest rate: 2% (continuously compounded)
Volatility: 28%
Recognized at year-end at its Black–Scholes theoretical value
The number of warrants is configured so that Delta is not 0 (not Delta-neutral)
(3) Currency Position
At the beginning of the year, 120,000 USD were exchanged at 29.8 TWD/USD
Year-end exchange rate: 31.4
No interest earned throughout the year
Foreign-exchange gains and losses must be adjusted for an inflation rate of 1.5%
II. Life Events (Included in the Year-End Settlement After Discounting)
(1) Marriage
Married midyear
One-time expense: 1,350,000 TWD
Psychological discount rate: 3%
(2) Having a Child
Child born at year-end
Expected expenditure period: 22 years
Annual real expenditure: 320,000 TWD
Expenditure growth rate: 1%
Discount rate: 2%
(3) Loss of Life Utility
Caused by investment and work-related stress:
Insufficient sleep: utility loss equivalent to 90,000 TWD
Fewer trips to the cinema: utility loss of 45,000 TWD
Fewer visits to all-you-can-eat restaurants: utility loss of 35,000 TWD
III. Biscuits (Core Difficulty)
The investor consumed a total of 480 biscuits during the year
Price per biscuit: 35 TWD
Biscuits are a form of immediate-pleasure consumption
The marginal utility function of biscuits is:
Marginal utility = 1200 / square root of n
where n is the cumulative number of biscuits already consumed
When marginal utility is less than 35, that portion of consumption is regarded as overconsumption
The utility corresponding to overconsumption must be included
The utility loss is multiplied by a penalty coefficient of 0.6 as a year-end settlement adjustment item
IV. Question
After fully incorporating all financial gains and losses, foreign-exchange adjustments, the present value of life events, utility losses, and the marginal utility adjustment for biscuit consumption, which of the following is closest to the investor’s “adjusted net economic effect after year-end settlement” for 2024?
Options (Only one is correct)
A. Positive 2,800,000 TWD
Financial operations were highly successful, and biscuit consumption remained within the range of rational consumption
B. Positive 1,050,000 TWD
Financial profits were substantial, but having a child and biscuit consumption significantly eroded the gains
C. Negative 650,000 TWD
There was a book profit, but the year-end settlement resulted in a substantial real loss
D. Negative 2,300,000 TWD
Highly leveraged financial operations, long-term life expenses, and excessive biscuit consumption caused the overall economic situation to deteriorate