Published on (UTC)
This post was submitted by a user and reflects their personal experience or opinion. The publication date is not an employment or interview date.
It happens every day! The results from the previous batch of experiments still aren’t out, and the daily CD deliveries have turned my hair gray. Every day I look for people, but I can’t find anyone. This is the kind of problem that actually feels meaningful
“Determining the Extreme Value of the Cross-Period Net Economic Utility at Year-End Settlement Including Cookie Consumption”
During the year-end settlement in 2024, an investor used the following criteria as the evaluation standard:
Year-end settlement objective function =
Financial book profit and loss
Foreign exchange effects
− Present value of life-event expenditures
− Monetary equivalent of utility losses
± Marginal utility adjustment for cookie consumption
I. Financial Positions (Full Calculation Required)
(I) Futures
The investor holds 2 long Taiwan Stock Index futures contracts
Contract multiplier: 200
Opening index: 15,750
Year-end settlement index: 16,180
Margin as a percentage of notional value: 12%
Annualized funding cost: 3.5%
The opportunity cost of margin is calculated using continuous compounding
(II) Warrants (Underlying Asset Without Dividends)
European call warrant
Current underlying price: 102
Strike price: 100
Time to expiration: 1 year
No dividends
Risk-free interest rate: 2% (continuously compounded)
Volatility: 28%
Recognized at the Black–Scholes theoretical price at year-end
The number of warrants is allocated such that Delta is not 0 (not Delta-neutral)
(III) Currency Position
At the beginning of the year, 120,000 USD was exchanged at 29.8 TWD/USD
Year-end exchange rate: 31.4
No interest accrued throughout the year
Foreign exchange profit or loss must be adjusted for an inflation rate of 1.5%
II. Life Events (Included in the Year-End Settlement After Discounting)
(I) Marriage
Married in the middle of the year
One-time expenditure: 1,350,000 TWD
Psychological discount rate: 3%
(II) Having a Child
Child born at year-end
Expected expenditure period: 22 years
Annual real expenditure: 320,000 TWD
Expenditure growth rate: 1%
Discount rate: 2%
(III) Loss of Life Utility
Caused by investment and work-related stress:
Sleep deprivation, utility loss equivalent to 90,000 TWD
Fewer movie outings, utility loss of 45,000 TWD
Fewer all-you-can-eat meals, utility loss of 35,000 TWD
III. Cookies (Core Difficulty)
The investor consumed a total of 480 cookies during the year
Price per cookie: 35 TWD
Cookies are a form of immediate-pleasure consumption
The marginal utility function of cookies is:
Marginal utility = 1200 / square root of n
where n is the cumulative number of cookies already consumed
When marginal utility is less than 35, that portion of consumption is considered overconsumption
The utility corresponding to overconsumption must be included
The utility loss multiplied by a penalty coefficient of 0.6 serves as the year-end settlement adjustment
IV. Question
After fully incorporating all financial profits and losses, foreign exchange adjustments, the present value of life events, utility losses, and the marginal utility adjustment for cookie consumption, which of the following is the closest estimate of the investor’s “adjusted net economic effect after year-end settlement” for 2024?
Options (only one is correct)
A. Positive 2,800,000 TWD
Financial operations were highly successful, and cookie consumption remained within the rational range
B. Positive 1,050,000 TWD
Financial gains were substantial, but having a child and cookie consumption significantly eroded the result
C. Negative 650,000 TWD
There was a book profit, but the year-end settlement showed a substantive loss
D. Negative 2,300,000 TWD
Highly leveraged financial operations, long-term life expenditures, and cookie overconsumption caused the overall economic situation to deteriorate