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It happens every day without fail! The results from the previous batch of experiments still aren’t out, and the daily CD deliveries have turned my hair gray. Every day I try to find people, but I can’t find anyone. Only this problem seems to be meaningful.
“Year-End Settlement Intertemporal Economic Net Utility Extremum Assessment Including Cookie Consumption”
In conducting the year-end settlement in 2024, an investor used the following criteria as the evaluation standard:
Year-end settlement objective function =
Financial book profit and loss
Foreign exchange effects
− Present-value expenditures for life events
− Monetary equivalent of utility losses
± Marginal utility adjustment for cookie consumption
I. Financial Positions (Full Calculation Required)
(1) Futures
The investor holds 2 long Taiwan Index Futures contracts
Contract multiplier: 200
Entry index: 15,750
Year-end settlement index: 16,180
Margin as a percentage of notional value: 12%
Annualized funding cost: 3.5%
The opportunity cost of margin is calculated using continuous compounding
(2) Warrants (Underlying Asset Without Dividends)
European call warrant
Current underlying price: 102
Strike price: 100
Time to expiration: 1 year
No dividends
Risk-free interest rate: 2% (continuously compounded)
Volatility: 28%
Recognized at year-end using the Black–Scholes theoretical value
The number of warrants is allocated so that Delta is not 0 (non-Delta-neutral)
(3) Currency Position
At the beginning of the year, 120,000 USD was exchanged at 29.8 TWD/USD
Year-end exchange rate: 31.4
No interest accrued during the year
Foreign exchange gains and losses must be adjusted for an inflation rate of 1.5%
II. Life Events (Included in the Year-End Settlement After Discounting)
(1) Marriage
Married mid-year
One-time expenditure: 1,350,000 TWD
Psychological discount rate: 3%
(2) Having a Child
Child born at year-end
Expected expenditure period: 22 years
Annual real expenditure: 320,000 TWD
Expenditure growth rate: 1%
Discount rate: 2%
(3) Loss of Life Utility
Caused by investment and work-related stress
Sleep deprivation: utility loss equivalent to 90,000 TWD
Reduced frequency of going to the movies: utility loss of 45,000 TWD
Reduced frequency of eating at all-you-can-eat restaurants: utility loss of 35,000 TWD
III. Cookies (Core Difficulty)
The investor consumed a total of 480 cookies during the year
Price per cookie: 35 TWD
Cookies are a form of immediate-pleasure consumption
The marginal utility function of cookies is:
Marginal utility = 1200 / square root of n
where n is the cumulative number of cookies consumed
When the marginal utility is less than 35, that portion of consumption is considered overconsumption
The utility corresponding to overconsumption must be included
The utility loss is multiplied by a penalty coefficient of 0.6 as a year-end settlement adjustment item
IV. Question
After fully incorporating all financial gains and losses, foreign exchange adjustments, the present value of life events, utility losses, and the marginal utility adjustment for cookie consumption, which of the following is closest to the investor’s “adjusted net economic effect after the 2024 year-end settlement”?
Options (only one is correct)
A. Positive 2,800,000 TWD
Financial operations were highly successful, and cookie consumption remained within the rational consumption range
B. Positive 1,050,000 TWD
Financial gains were significant, but having a child and cookie consumption substantially eroded the results
C. Negative 650,000 TWD
There was a book profit, but the year-end settlement resulted in a substantial real loss
D. Negative 2,300,000 TWD
Highly leveraged financial operations, long-term life expenditures, and excessive cookie consumption caused the overall economic situation to deteriorate